Prediction markets: Kalshi gives Santos Laguna a 26% chance to win the Liga MX Clausura, and Polymarket gives Flamengo a 60% chance to win the Brazil Série A, as of October 27, 12:07 a.m. ET. Prices are bets, not polls.
Flamengo are out of the Copa Libertadores. Estudiantes de La Plata won 3–2 on penalties after a 0–0 draw at the Maracanã on 22 October to reach the final.
Grêmio stole a late win in Brazil. Martin Braithwaite scored in stoppage time to beat Coritiba 1–0 in Curitiba on Monday.
Unión impressed in Argentina. They beat Estudiantes 3–1 on 26 October, while Instituto beat Deportivo Riestra 1–0.
Today’s headlines October 27, 2026
| Event | Status | Angle |
|---|---|---|
| Copa Libertadores semifinal | Result | Estudiantes beat Flamengo on penalties at the Maracanã to book a final spot. |
01
Estudiantes eliminate Flamengo on penalties in Rio
Result
Estudiantes de La Plata progressed to the Copa Libertadores final after a 0–0 draw and a 3–2 penalty shootout win at Flamengo’s Maracanã.
The second leg on 22 October ended level after 90 minutes. Estudiantes kept their nerve from the spot to silence the home crowd.
Flamengo won the Libertadores in 2019 and 2022.
Estudiantes have won the Libertadores four times, most recently in 2009.
In short — Estudiantes won 3–2 on penalties after a 0–0 draw at the Maracanã to reach the Copa Libertadores final.
03
Unión beat Estudiantes; Instituto edge Riestra
Result
Unión secured a 3–1 win at home against Estudiantes on 26 October. The result strengthens their position in Argentina’s top flight.
Instituto beat Deportivo Riestra 1–0, with a penalty from Jeremías Lázaro deciding the match.
Argentinos Juniors were due to host Independiente Rivadavia on Tuesday. That match was scheduled as part of the same round.
In short — Unión won 3–1 against Estudiantes and Instituto beat Deportivo Riestra 1–0 in Argentina on 26 October.
What Prediction Markets Say
Implied chances from traders’ prices, as of October 27, 12:07 a.m. ET.
Liga MX Clausura Champion
Santos Laguna 26% · America 15% · Cruz Azul 12%
Kalshi (regulated in the US by the CFTC) · 556,071 contracts traded
Brazil Série A: Winner
Flamengo 60% · Palmeiras 38% · Athletico Paranaense 0.5%
Polymarket · US$54,306 traded
Copa Libertadores: Winner
Palmeiras 64% · Estudiantes LP 28.5%
Polymarket · US$38,876 traded
Peru Liga 1: Teams relegated (2026)
UTC Cajamarca 92.8% · FC Cajamarca 57% · ADT 46%
Polymarket · US$23,696 traded
Colombia Primera A: Teams relegated (2026)
Jaguares 72.5% · Independiente Santa Fe 2.3% · Independiente Medellín 2.3%
Polymarket · US$23,553 traded
Bolivia LFPB: Teams relegated (2026)
GV San José 57.5% · Real Tomayapo 42.5% · Bulo Bulo 13.5%
Polymarket · US$14,977 traded
Why we show this: prediction markets turn real-money bets into a live probability that moves within minutes of the news, which is why investors, campaigns and newsrooms in the United States now follow them closely. We show them next to polls and official results, never instead of them.
03
Frequently Asked Questions
FAQ
How did Estudiantes beat Flamengo in the Copa Libertadores semifinal?
Estudiantes drew 0–0 with Flamengo in the second leg at the Maracanã on 22 October. They then won the penalty shootout 3–2.
The result put Estudiantes into the final. Flamengo were eliminated at the semifinal stage.
Who scored in Grêmio’s win over Coritiba?
Danish forward Martin Braithwaite headed the only goal in stoppage time. Grêmio won 1–0 away in Curitiba on 26 October.
The late strike gave Grêmio three important points in Brazil’s Série A.
What was the score between Unión and Estudiantes in Argentina?
Unión beat Estudiantes 3–1 on 26 October. The match was part of Argentina’s Primera División round.
Instituto also played that day, beating Deportivo Riestra 1–0.
In short — Estudiantes advanced on penalties, Grêmio won late in Brazil, and Unión took a 3–1 home win in Argentina.
Sources: Flamengo official club news, ESPN match report, Flamengo vs Estudiantes, ESPN match report, Coritiba vs Grêmio, ESPN match report, Instituto vs Deportivo Riestra, ESPN match report, Unión vs Estudiantes
Updated: 2026-10-26T23:14:00-03:00 by Oliver Mason, Latin America sports correspondent.
Related coverage: Soybean Fund Falls 1.23% as Wheat Fund Drops 1.27% | Grains, Oct 26 · Oil Fund Falls 1.95% as Petrobras Plunges 13.99% | Oil, Oct 26 · Brazil’s CSN Plunges 22.73% as Gerdau Falls 6.86% | Steel, Oct 26.
This article was produced by The Rio Times’ automated newsroom system. How we use AI · Report an error · Editorial responsibility: Matthias Camenzind, Editor-in-Chief
Free · Any country in the world · Prediction markets
Want prediction market reports on your country?
Pick any country in the world. Your report arrives the moment you confirm, then every Sunday: what the markets say about elections, currencies and policy there, with volumes and plain-English explanations.
The Rio Times · Power Map
See who really holds power in Latin America
Click to open the Power Map →