Every week I'll examine the most common NFL players on the teams eliminated in Yahoo Death Leagues, trying to figure out where the puck is headed. I will also offer some FAB advice ($1,000 cap is the Yahoo default), but please remember this area is highly context-sensitive and manager-specific.
Waiver strategy in Death Leagues
If you're new to this format, it's critical to understand that waiver strategy is significantly different in the world of Death Leagues.
You can often win a traditional fantasy league with modest help from the waiver wire, maybe a timely pickup or two. Sure, it's great if you crush the market and land the right guys — the best managers will always aim to be smart on the wire — but if your drafted team stays healthy and runs pure, some years that might be enough.
Immediate needs vs. playing the long game
In Death Leagues, the eventual winning manager will have assembled a MONSTER team at the end of the year, a juggernaut, a Pro Bowl-type of roster. And the way you build that beast is usually by having resources all season — not by using the majority of your FAB on a tantalizing early star. It's pivotal that you understand that the waiver wire should get stronger and stronger every week in Death leagues, because the eliminated manager is coming from a smaller and smaller league size every week.
Unless you have a draft touched by the fantasy angels, you are unlikely to win a Death League without a successful and careful waiver-wire strategy.
My Death League strategy is centered on the concept that I like my squad early in the year and I am confident I can beat at least one team per week while the field of opponents is large. Therefore, while I will dip my toes into the FAB market early, my primary goal is to keep major reserves in play for later in the year, when bye weeks hit and injuries are more prevalent — and the pool of opponents is smaller (so advancing is harder, in theory). Again, I urge you to remember: the waiver wire in Death Leagues gets stronger as the year gets deeper, a key reason to be judicious with your resources.
Not everyone will share my strategy, of course. If you want to chase major improvements and use the bulk of your FAB to load up quickly, then shoot your shot. Play the strategy you're comfortable with. Just understand that my recommendations are predicated on being careful early, and if you prefer something more aggressive, you'll have to jump the numbers up. You know your room better than an outsider does.
Keep in mind the bye weeks are here — the 49ers, Giants, Saints and Texans don't play in Week 8. When in doubt, we will prefer players with later bye weeks — if you survive deep in this format, your roster will be loaded in the money weeks (making byes less painful). October absences can be more difficult to negotiate.
Understanding FAB recommendations
I will offer weekly FAB recommendations in three buckets:
Proactive: This means you highly covet this player, perhaps might even need this player. I realize these offers might not win if someone in your league is lighting money on fire, but as described above, that's often a short-sighted mistake in this format.
Reactive: This means you desire the player but the offer has to make sense for your short- or long-term strategy.
Keep Them Honest: This is an offer that is not designed to win, but might surprisingly land a player if your opponents are distracted by other talent available or unexpectedly passive that week. I often compare notes with other experienced Death League players and we're surprised at how often the Keep Them Honest offers actually win (this is also a portable strategy for regular season-long leagues; you never know when strange market behavior will come about).
One last note: Understand that the FAB recommendations are with the assumption that you won't be making offers for every available player.
1. RB Kenneth Walker, Chiefs
Fantasy’s No. 1 right answer finally had an off game, as the Seattle defense provided the Kryptonite. Walker remains a set-and-forget star, so long as he can handle the heaviest workload he’s ever been tasked with. Keep in mind Walker's bye week has already come and gone.
FAB Recommendation:
$350 proactive
$175 reactive
$100 keep them honest
2. RB Derrick Henry, Ravens
Henry was limited to 2.6 a carry in Week 7 against the Bengals and he hasn’t had any touchdown deodorant for two weeks. The eventual Lamar Jackson return can only help, but for the first time in his career, Henry is starting to look like a player in decline.
FAB Recommendation:
$175 proactive
$100 reactive
$70 keep them honest
3. WR Garrett Wilson, Jets
Wilson saw his smallest target share of the year and made his displeasure known. The Omar Cooper Jr. emergence isn’t helping Wilson, but the squeaky wheel narrative should kick in soon. Bet on talent.
FAB Recommendation:
$150 proactive
$75 reactive
$40 keep them honest
4. TE Sam LaPorta, Lions
He’s one of the best tight ends around, but he’s always going to be the third or fourth option in Detroit’s offense. And when it’s a Jameson Williams week, it’s almost always bad for LaPorta. The Vikings are a nasty Week 8 draw, then the schedule gets better.
FAB Recommendation:
$110 proactive
$55 reactive
$20 keep them honest
5. WR Nico Collins, Texans
We normally think of Collins as a target hog, but the Texans have been spreading it out in their passing game. Of course, Houston has to ask itself some hard questions after a stunning loss to the Giants. The Texans don’t play in Week 8, so factor that into your immediate plans.
FAB Recommendation:
$150 proactive
$75 reactive
$35 keep them honest
6. RB James Cook III, Bills
Bye weeks are a fact of life, but sometimes the bench doesn’t step up for you. Even with Josh Allen’s goal-line party, Cook has a rushing touchdown in five straight weeks. He’s never seen as the best back in fantasy, but he’s played like a first-rounder all year.
FAB Recommendation:
$355 proactive
$185 reactive
$110 keep them honest
7. WR Tetairoa McMillan, Panthers
Just when we thought it was safe to trust Bryce Young and the Panthers, the offense threw up a stinker against Tampa Bay. McMillan is an undeniable talent, but we can’t ignore that his stats haven’t separated much from Jalen Coker when both are in uniform.
FAB Recommendation:
$185 proactive
$70 reactive
$35 keep them honest
8. TE Isaiah Likely, Giants
After a season of delicious volume, Likely was suspiciously quiet in the win at Houston. At least J.J. McCarthy played well in his first start, so the offense looks credible moving forward. But Likely can’t help you during his Week 8 bye.
FAB Recommendation:
$100 proactive
$45 reactive
$10-13 keep them honest
9. WR Jalen Coker, Panthers
Another casualty of Bryce Young’s poor game, and now Coker has a shoulder injury to boot. It’s looking like Coker will play Thursday against Green Bay, but grind those injury reports closely.
FAB Recommendation:
$100 proactive
$45 reactive
$10-13 keep them honest
10. RB Chase Brown, Bengals
Post-bye games are often reveal weeks, and the reveal wasn’t kind to Brown (15 touches, 58 yards); Samaje Perine stole a goal-line touchdown and Tahj Brooks had some clock-draining carries. Brown is too good to drop but not consistent enough to proactively chase.
FAB Recommendation:
$125 proactive
$55 reactive
$15-20 keep them honest
