Published Monday, 26 October, 6:33 a.m. ET (11:33 a.m. Paris) · Source: CCI France, French Interior Ministry
Key Facts
- What happened: The head of CCI France, a network of chambers of commerce, asked on 26 October for a pause in protests.
- The numbers: Interior Ministry: 410,000 marched on 24 October, with 1,435 arrests. The CGT, a major trade union, claimed 800,000.
- What happens next: A national strike day is set for Thursday, 5 November. Police plan a strong deployment on 31 October.
- Prediction markets: Traders on Polymarket and Kalshi put a French state of emergency by year-end near 16% (as of 6:33 a.m. ET).
French shopkeepers are tired of sweeping up broken glass, and their top lobbyist now wants the street marches to pause before the holidays. Alain Di Crescenzo, president of CCI France, the national network of chambers of commerce, made the plea on Radio Classique, a French national radio station, on Monday, 26 October.
It lands after two Saturdays of national protests over living costs and public services, which we track in our guide to France protests.
In plain English
CCI France speaks for French business owners. It says weekly street protests over living costs are hurting shops just before their busiest season, and it wants a break.
Why Shopkeepers Say Enough
“We have shopkeepers who are tired, who are dejected, and we are in the process of killing local commerce,” Di Crescenzo said. It was his second appeal in a week.
On 20 October, on Sud Radio, he had urged “no protests next week,” saying more marches would “add suffering to suffering.” He then put the damage from the violence of 17 October at close to 3,000 looted or vandalised shops.
The timing is what hurts. Shops earn about 40% of their annual sales in November and December, and he said summer sales were already down about 20%.
How Big Were the Marches?
The Interior Ministry counted 410,000 marchers across France on Saturday, 24 October, down from 550,000 a week earlier. The CGT, a major French trade union, claimed 800,000.
Laurent Nuñez, the interior minister, called the day “controlled”. Even so, police made 1,435 arrests nationwide, and 267 police and gendarmes (France’s paramilitary police) were hurt, most of them lightly and three seriously.
In Paris, between 110,000 and 250,000 people marched, depending on who counted.
What Comes Next
Nuñez said curfews will continue where local officials want them. He also promised an “extremely robust” police deployment next Saturday, 31 October, noting that Halloween weekend invites trouble. Unions have called a national day of strikes and marches for Thursday, 5 November.
What Prediction Markets Say
- Polymarket, a global prediction exchange: France declares a state of emergency by 31 December 2026, about 16%; by 31 October, about 2%. Volume: about US$1.1 million traded.
- Kalshi, a US exchange regulated in the US by the CFTC (the Commodity Futures Trading Commission): before 1 January 2027, 16%; before 1 November 2026, 4%. Volume: 98,461 contracts.
- Prices as of 6:33 a.m. ET.
These prices are real-money bets, not polls. Why we show this: prediction markets turn real-money bets into a live probability that moves within minutes of the news, which is why investors, campaigns and newsrooms in the United States now follow them closely. We show them next to polls and official results, never instead of them.
What It Means for US Readers
Americans planning trips to France should expect more marches and heavy policing on 31 October and 5 November, with possible strike disruption.
For investors, the damage to small shops is a drag on French consumer spending going into the holidays.
What Is Not Known
Turnout is disputed, with a gap of 390,000 between the ministry and the CGT. The shop figures come from business groups, not from a government count.
Frequently Asked Questions
What did CCI France ask for?
Its president, Alain Di Crescenzo, asked on 26 October for a pause in the street marches before the holidays. He says shops earn about 40% of their year in November and December.
When is the next big French protest day?
Unions have called a national day of strikes and marches for Thursday, 5 November. Police plan a very strong deployment on Saturday, 31 October.
Sources: CCI France (cci.fr); French Interior Ministry (interieur.gouv.fr); Polymarket and Kalshi price data.
Editorial responsibility: Matthias Camenzind, Editor-in-Chief · Editorial standards · Report an error
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